Ovyaro decision intelligence

Decision Simulation Lab

What-if engine · local · no API needed

See how a decision behaves before you commit.

Compare upside, baseline, stress and disruption paths. Every output comes from visible assumptions, so you can challenge the model instead of trusting a mysterious score.

4 scenario branchesSensitivity trendDecision gatesNo false certainty
Assumptions are local to this page and recalculate instantly.

Assumption console

Business launch simulation

Customers, pricing, costs, cash runway and break-even sensitivity.

Use one consistent currency for every money field. Ovyaro does not assume USD, JPY or NPR.

Scenario space

Launch economics stress test

Horizon: 12 months · recalculated locally

START12 MONTHS
UpsideBaselineStressDisruption

Lines compare the selected primary metric under entered assumptions. They are not probability bands.

Selected branch · Baseline

35,584.9 currency units

Closing cash · Same currency as your inputs

Final customers

251.8

Total revenue

81,981.2 currency units

Lowest cash

25,275 currency units

Break-even month

6

First positive operating month

Branch assumptions

  • • Growth factor 1×
  • • Cost factor 1×
  • • No discrete shock included

No-regret actions

  • • Validate price and acquisition with a small cohort.
  • • Review actual cash versus model every month.

Decision gates

Pass before committing

  • 1Price is validated with real buyers.
  • 2Worst-case cash never crosses the stop-loss threshold.
  • 3Unit contribution is positive before scaling.

Signals to watch

Replace assumptions with evidence

  • • Customer conversion
  • • Retention and repeat purchase
  • • Monthly net burn

Honest model limits

  • • These are deterministic what-if branches, not probabilities, guarantees, or live forecasts.
  • • Outputs depend entirely on the assumptions entered; replace estimates with observed data and rerun.
  • • Material decisions still require human review and relevant professional or operational checks.